Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 0.000395 0.000444 0.000497 0.000559 0.000630 0.000707 0.000799
2024-12-15 0.000310 0.000380 0.000464 0.000571 0.000705 0.000870 0.001086
2024-12-22 0.000244 0.000319 0.000414 0.000546 0.000723 0.000957 0.001292
2024-12-29 0.000210 0.000288 0.000394 0.000549 0.000771 0.001083 0.001562
2025-01-05 0.000192 0.000275 0.000393 0.000574 0.000849 0.001259 0.001925
2025-01-12 0.000167 0.000249 0.000369 0.000562 0.000869 0.001348 0.002171
2025-01-19 0.000144 0.000221 0.000338 0.000534 0.000858 0.001387 0.002339
2025-01-26 0.000132 0.000209 0.000331 0.000541 0.000903 0.001519 0.002682
2025-02-02 0.000126 0.000206 0.000335 0.000567 0.000983 0.001721 0.003180
2025-02-09 0.000114 0.000192 0.000321 0.000559 0.001001 0.001814 0.003491
2025-02-16 0.000106 0.000183 0.000313 0.000562 0.001040 0.001951 0.003907
2025-02-23 0.000098 0.000172 0.000302 0.000557 0.001060 0.002054 0.004271
2025-03-02 0.000092 0.000166 0.000299 0.000567 0.001115 0.002237 0.004848
2025-03-09 0.000086 0.000159 0.000293 0.000572 0.001162 0.002413 0.005446
2025-03-16 0.000077 0.000145 0.000273 0.000546 0.001139 0.002435 0.005695
2025-03-23 0.000073 0.000139 0.000268 0.000549 0.001178 0.002603 0.006327
2025-03-30 0.000071 0.000138 0.000273 0.000574 0.001271 0.002906 0.007364
2025-04-06 0.000065 0.000130 0.000261 0.000562 0.001277 0.003003 0.007879
2025-04-13 0.000059 0.000119 0.000243 0.000534 0.001241 0.002995 0.008103
2025-04-20 0.000056 0.000115 0.000241 0.000541 0.001290 0.003208 0.009002
2025-04-27 0.000055 0.000115 0.000246 0.000567 0.001392 0.003574 0.010440
2025-05-04 0.000051 0.000110 0.000238 0.000559 0.001404 0.003701 0.011169
2025-05-11 0.000049 0.000106 0.000234 0.000562 0.001448 0.003923 0.012258